live · 2h 26m · Oct 18, 8:54 PM CT

Pro plans

Turo prices, with perspective.

Find cheaper pickup days, compare trip lengths, and see how today’s observed prices fit the history. Find a trip →

// renter evidence for 3-day Tesla trips near Chicago O’Hare (ORD) · observed about every four hours · methodology →

// TODAY'S MARKET

headline facts from the latest verified observation — every figure is proven by a panel below

48h price drops
44events
423 affected trip prices · 32 distinct listings · table ↓
cheaper kept longer
87cars
longer trip, lower total, right now · free days ↓
weekly discount cliff
4.4%
of eligible pairs: 7 days totals strictly less than 6
ORD ↔ LAX gap
+9.5%
Model Y · LAX vs ORD, matched 3-day cohorts
Data quality: current prices verified
Current prices passed publication checksCap-free observation with at least 95% successful-date and fresh coverage.100.0% pickup dates collected in that update98.0% prices eligible in that update8,862 eligible price observations, including retained prices182 last-seen prices excluded from current claims
// BOOK SMART

the cheapest well-supported ways to book this market right now

Start here

Best-priced 3-day pickup dates with reliable support

Each date has at least 30 listings, 95% fresh prices, and representative coverage. Close estimates are shown as ties instead of false winners.

1d3d7d14d
observed Oct 18, 8:54 PM CT
Low typical price · statistical tie possibleOct 26$316 total$105.33/day67 listings · 95% median interval $293.00–$349.00 totalSearch this trip →Low typical price · statistical tie possibleOct 27$319 total$106.33/day69 listings · 95% median interval $305.00–$365.00 totalSearch this trip →Low typical price · statistical tie possibleOct 28$348 total$116/day71 listings · 95% median interval $321.00–$379.00 totalSearch this trip →

Read Flexible on dates? These are the cheapest well-supported pickup dates in the current observation — the spread between them is what moving pickup can be worth.

method & limits

Ranks well-covered pickup dates by lowest observed typical listing price for this trip length; every date carries at least 30 listings, 95% fresh prices, and representative coverage. These are descriptive medians, not booking guarantees, and overlapping intervals do not establish a winner.

Date × duration explorer — Chicago O’Hare (ORD) ◉ latest observation

Median total and $/day · independent color scale within each duration · thin cells never set the scale or mobile ranking

Median daily prices by pickup date and trip length. Each duration row has its own color scale based only on cells with at least 30 fresh listings, so colors cannot be compared across trip lengths. Small-sample, failed, last-seen, and unavailable cells do not set the scale.1d2d3d4d5d6d7d8d9d10d11d12d13d14dOctNovDec
row-local scale: darker = cheaper within that duration only · colors cannot be compared across trip lengths · blue-grey = small sample · gold stripe = last-seen · red stripe = failed · grey = unavailable

Lowest 11 of 11 well-supported 3-day pickup options

Read Use the lower-priced pickup dates to narrow your search before comparing individual cars.

method & limits

Each cell places a supported pickup-date × trip-length combination within its own duration row’s observed price range. Color scales are row-local and cannot be compared across trip lengths; cells describe current available-listing prices, not future prices.

Free days — longer trip, lower total ◉ latest observation

Same car and pickup date where keeping the car longer totals less · top savings, one per car · full stored list in the Free Day finder above

CarPickupShorter tripLonger ↗You save
2022 Model SOct 206d · $2,2078d · $1,975 ↗−$232
2024 CybertruckOct 197d · $3,3618d · $3,148 ↗−$213
2025 Model SOct 197d · $2,6688d · $2,500 ↗−$168
2022 Model SOct 207d · $2,1178d · $1,975 ↗−$142
2024 CybertruckOct 207d · $1,6698d · $1,542 ↗−$127
2025 CybertruckOct 217d · $1,7598d · $1,654 ↗−$105
2020 Model 3Oct 206d · $5948d · $491 ↗−$103
2023 Model XOct 197d · $2,0658d · $1,970 ↗−$95

Top 8 of 772 qualifying quote-window opportunities across 87 distinct cars · one quote window = listing × pickup date × trip length.

Read A longer trip that costs less in total — hosts’ length discounts overshoot; book the longer option and return early if you like.

method & limits

Pairs the same listing and pickup date at two trip lengths inside the latest observation and keeps pairs where the longer total is strictly lower; one representative pair per car, largest savings first. Savings compare pre-tax bookable totals inside the observed quote window; availability can change before booking, and the stored list is capped.

Largest detected price decreases ⟲ 48h

44 listing events · 423 affected trip prices · 32 distinct listings

DetectedMarketListingRepresentative tripAffected surfacePriceDecrease
Oct 18, 5:00 PM CTLAX2025 Model 3host view →Oct 19–20 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$394 → $116↓70.6%
Oct 18, 8:45 PM CTLAX2025 Model 3host view →Oct 20–21 · 1d42 trip-price combinations · 3 pickup dates · 1–14d$374 → $112↓70.1%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2023 Model Yhost view →Oct 26–27 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$276 → $131↓52.5%
Oct 18, 9:15 AM CTLAX2023 Model Yhost view →Oct 25–26 · 1d28 trip-price combinations · 2 pickup dates · 1–14d$306 → $146↓52.3%
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CTLAX2023 Model Yhost view →Oct 18–19 · 1d28 trip-price combinations · 2 pickup dates · 1–14d$240 → $150↓37.5%
Oct 17, 9:45 AM CTLAX2023 Model 3host view →Oct 22–23 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$153 → $106↓30.7%
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CTLAX2023 Model Yhost view →Oct 19–20 · 1d2 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–2d$242 → $179↓26.0%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2026 Model Xhost view →Oct 26–30 · 4d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$1,078 → $820↓23.9%
Oct 17, 9:45 AM CTLAX2026 Model Yhost view →Oct 22–23 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$234 → $178↓23.9%
Oct 17, 1:30 PM CTLAX2023 Model 3host view →Oct 23–24 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$153 → $117↓23.5%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2024 Model Shost view →Oct 26–31 · 5d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$1,221 → $964↓21.0%
Oct 18, 9:15 AM CTLAX2022 Model Yhost view →Oct 25–26 · 1d9 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–9d$148 → $117↓20.9%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2026 Model Yhost view →Oct 26–27 · 1d3 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–3d$216 → $178↓17.6%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2026 Model Yhost view →Oct 26–29 · 3d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$462 → $382↓17.3%
Oct 17, 1:30 PM CTORD2026 Model Yhost view →Oct 23–27 · 4d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$550 → $456↓17.1%
Oct 17, 1:30 PM CTORD2018 Model 3host view →Oct 23–24 · 1d5 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–5d$112 → $94↓16.1%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2026 Model Yhost view →Oct 26–29 · 3d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$410 → $353↓13.9%
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CTLAX2023 Model 3host view →Oct 19–21 · 2d2 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–2d$243 → $210↓13.6%
Oct 18, 5:00 PM CTLAX2019 Model 3host view →Oct 24–25 · 1d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$144 → $126↓12.5%
Oct 17, 1:30 PM CTORD2021 Model Yhost view →Oct 23–25 · 2d9 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–9d$292 → $259↓11.3%
Oct 18, 8:45 PM CTLAX2027 Model Yhost view →Oct 19–27 · 8d16 trip-price combinations · 3 pickup dates · 1–14d$855 → $760↓11.1%
Oct 17, 9:45 AM CTLAX2025 Model 3host view →Oct 22–23 · 1d1 trip-price combination · 1 pickup date · 1d$243 → $216↓11.1%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2023 Model 3host view →Oct 26–28 · 2d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$227 → $202↓11.0%
Oct 17, 9:45 AM CTLAX2023 Model 3host view →Oct 22–Nov 4 · 13d14 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–14d$1,017 → $911↓10.4%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2024 Model Yhost view →Oct 26–28 · 2d6 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–11d$270 → $243↓10.0%
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CTLAX2023 Model Yhost view →Oct 18–19 · 1d1 trip-price combination · 1 pickup date · 1d$170 → $154↓9.4%
Oct 18, 1:00 PM CTLAX2023 Model Xhost view →Oct 26–31 · 5d9 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 1–9d$756 → $686↓9.3%
Oct 17, 1:30 PM CTORD2023 Model 3host view →Oct 23–Nov 5 · 13d7 trip-price combinations · 1 pickup date · 8–14d$1,066 → $967↓9.3%
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CTORD2018 Model 3host view →Oct 19–20 · 1d9 trip-price combinations · 2 pickup dates · 1–5d$99 → $90↓9.1%
Oct 18, 8:45 PM CTLAX2027 Model Yhost view →Oct 22–25 · 3d5 trip-price combinations · 2 pickup dates · 2–5d$394 → $360↓8.6%

Read Every row names an exact trip that just got cheaper — the most directly actionable table on the page.

method & limits

Lists the largest listing-level price decreases detected across fresh listing, pickup-date, and trip-length prices during the retained 48-hour period. Detected time is when Carconomics observed the change, not when the host made it; the table is capped to recent large events and is not a complete host-pricing history.

Repricing behavior — listings cutting price repeatedly ⟲ 48h + ledger

Listings with two or more detected posted-price cuts · sorted by cut count · ledger recorded since Aug 16

ListingMarketCuts · 48hCuts since Aug 16Largest single cutLast detected
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX2100↓40.6%Oct 18, 1:00 PM CT
2026 Model 3host view →LAX083↓19.0%Oct 2, 11:00 AM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX081↓26.8%Oct 16, 9:45 PM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX081↓50.2%Oct 15, 10:15 AM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX180↓17.3%Oct 18, 1:00 PM CT
2024 Model Shost view →LAX180↓21.8%Oct 18, 1:00 PM CT
2025 Cybertruckhost view →LAX080↓21.4%Sep 24, 7:45 AM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX079↓28.8%Oct 7, 8:15 AM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX176↓15.3%Oct 18, 1:00 PM CT
2026 Model Yhost view →LAX076↓15.2%Sep 30, 4:15 PM CT

Read A listing cutting its posted price again and again is walking its price down in the open — worth knowing before you book at the first number you see.

method & limits

Groups the retained 48-hour drop events by listing and, alongside them, an hourly Worker ledger that folds the same events into longer counts (recording began Aug 16); a listing qualifies with two or more detected cuts in either record. Counts are listing-level observed posted-price declines only: motive is not observable, frequent cuts describe pricing behavior rather than strategy, and listing control cannot be attributed to a named host. Detected time is when Carconomics observed each change.

// PRICE STUDIES

how observed prices move with date, duration, model, and lead time

Current price by trip length ◉ latest observation

Typical listing’s median $/day within each independently supported duration · seven-day host-discount boundary marked

Current median daily price by trip lengthListing-equal median dollars per day for each independently supported trip length. Day seven is marked as a host-discount boundary, not a causal effect.$60$105$1507-day boundary1-day trip · median $130.25/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported2-day trip · median $131.25/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported3-day trip · median $115.83/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported4-day trip · median $112.63/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported5-day trip · median $107.50/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported6-day trip · median $104/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported7-day trip · median $98.07/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported8-day trip · median $81.19/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported9-day trip · median $80.44/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported10-day trip · median $80.48/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported11-day trip · median $80.05/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported12-day trip · median $79.44/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported13-day trip · median $79.90/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported14-day trip · median $74.86/day · 88 listings (88 fresh) · supported1d2d3d4d5d6d7d8d9d10d11d12d13d14d

Hover, focus or tap a point to inspect the observation.

View trip-length data table
Trip lengthMedian / dayMiddle 80%ListingsSupport
1 day$130.25$94.70–$243.6088 (88 fresh)Supported
2 days$131.25$93.18–$245.5388 (88 fresh)Supported
3 days$115.83$87.50–$217.4588 (88 fresh)Supported
4 days$112.63$86.18–$211.4788 (88 fresh)Supported
5 days$107.50$83.29–$207.1888 (88 fresh)Supported
6 days$104$80.52–$204.3888 (88 fresh)Supported
7 days$98.07$72.49–$193.8088 (88 fresh)Supported
8 days$81.19$59.54–$160.9188 (88 fresh)Supported
9 days$80.44$59.21–$159.3988 (88 fresh)Supported
10 days$80.48$58.68–$158.1788 (88 fresh)Supported
11 days$80.05$58.70–$157.4588 (88 fresh)Supported
12 days$79.44$58.32–$157.4488 (88 fresh)Supported
13 days$79.90$58.03–$157.1888 (88 fresh)Supported
14 days$74.86$54.57–$148.2188 (88 fresh)Supported

Read Read where per-day rates step down as trips stretch — the seven-day marker flags a common host discount-policy boundary.

method & limits

One listing-equal median $/day per independently supported trip length, in the latest observation. The seven-day marker identifies a common discount-policy boundary without proving it caused the step; each duration can contain a different supported listing cohort.

Current 3-day price by days before pickup ◉ selected trip length

Typical listing price per day · shaded middle 50% · optional market comparison

1d3d7d14d
ORD · featured
Median price per day by days until pickupLine chart of median dollars per day against how many days before pickup the trip starts, one line per market.$0$43$85$128$1700d14ddays before pickupORD · pickup in 2 days · median $117.17/day · 50 listings (48 fresh) · 95% interval $107.33–$134.33/dayORD · pickup in 3 days · median $112.33/day · 55 listings (54 fresh) · 95% interval $101.67–$125.33/dayORD · pickup in 4 days · median $117.67/day · 51 listings (50 fresh) · 95% interval $106.67–$127.00/dayORD · pickup in 5 days · median $123.33/day · 25 listings (25 fresh) · thin support · 95% interval $108.00–$133.00/dayORD · pickup in 6 days · median $113/day · 30 listings (29 fresh) · 95% interval $101.67–$121.67/dayORD · pickup in 7 days · median $109.33/day · 31 listings (30 fresh) · 95% interval $99.33–$127.33/dayORD · pickup in 8 days · median $105.33/day · 67 listings (66 fresh) · 95% interval $97.67–$116.33/dayORD · pickup in 9 days · median $106.33/day · 69 listings (68 fresh) · 95% interval $101.67–$121.67/dayORD · pickup in 10 days · median $116/day · 71 listings (70 fresh) · 95% interval $107.00–$126.33/dayORD · pickup in 11 days · median $125.83/day · 66 listings (65 fresh) · 95% interval $117.67–$133.67/dayORD · pickup in 12 days · median $128.33/day · 32 listings (32 fresh) · 95% interval $120.00–$157.00/dayORD · pickup in 13 days · median $124.33/day · 33 listings (33 fresh) · 95% interval $117.67–$144.00/dayORD · pickup in 14 days · median $118.17/day · 36 listings (36 fresh) · 95% interval $104.00–$132.33/dayORD $118.17

Hover, focus or tap a point to inspect the observation.

Read Find your days-out position on this curve: it shows whether close-in quotes look cheaper or pricier than far-out ones in the latest observation.

method & limits

Charts the typical listing $/day against days until pickup, one point per lead-time bucket, with the middle 50% shaded. An unadjusted cross-section: different pickup dates can contain different listings, and the pattern is not evidence that waiting changes a specific car’s price.

Price by pickup weekday ◉ 3-day trips

Listing-equal selected-duration medians with support and 95% intervals · association only

1d3d7d14d

Typical daily price by pickup day. Green marks the lowest supported median; it does not predict a discount.

Pooled model-adjusted associations: Fri/Sat pickup +5.6% (95% interval 1.7% to 9.5%). These are not the raw bars above.

Read Pickup day can slide within the week? These bars are the currently observed weekday-to-weekday spread.

method & limits

Listing-equal selected-duration medians per pickup weekday, with support counts and 95% intervals. Raw, unadjusted bars confounded by which cars, dates, and hosts are present — they do not identify a best weekday or a causal weekday effect.

Price by model ◉ 3d

Listing-equal medians · 10–29 listings = thin · at least 30 required to highlight a lowest cohort

1d3d7d14d
Model 337$108.6795% median interval $101.67–$116.00
Model Y35$116.1795% median interval $100.67–$130.00
Cybertruck5—fewer than 10 listings
Model X6—fewer than 10 listings
Model S6—fewer than 10 listings

Read The observed cohort gap shows what switching model moves for the typical listing — weigh it against the date and length spreads above before picking which lever to pull.

method & limits

The typical listing’s median daily price within each current Tesla model cohort for this trip length. Compares current observed cohorts, not vehicle quality or ownership cost; cohort composition can differ, and overlapping intervals do not establish a definitive lowest segment.

Current price range ◉ future pickup dates

Listings quoted anywhere in the future window · 3-day distribution · ORD

1d3d7d14d
Quoted listings88
Low end (10th percentile)$262.50 · $87.50/day
Typical (median)$347.50 · $115.83/day
High end (90th percentile)$652.35 · $217.45/day

Read The p10-to-p90 gap is what sorting by price is worth right now — the wider it is, the more comparing pays.

method & limits

Median and middle-80% range of current listing-level daily prices for the selected trip length, across the future quote window. p10–p90 means the middle 80% of listing-level values, not a confidence interval; listings quoted in the future window are observed supply — not demand, bookings, or occupancy.

3-day price distribution history ⟲ complete days only

Median and middle 80% of observed daily prices · up to 14 verified days · fresh listing counts below

1d3d7d14d

14 verified observation days · gaps stay visible. Last complete day: . Supported observations enter history after the market day closes.

Median / dayMiddle 80%Fresh listings
Selected-duration price distribution and fresh listings over 14 complete daysThe band spans p10 to p90, the middle eighty percent of listing-level daily prices. Bars show fresh listings seen, not demand, bookings, or occupancy.$70$160$2502026-09-21 · median $108.83/day · middle 80% $81.40–$230.17/day · 92 fresh listings2026-09-22 · median $102.58/day · middle 80% $80.52–$213.37/day · 92 fresh listings2026-09-24 · median $98.67/day · middle 80% $80.98–$204.63/day · 90 fresh listings2026-09-26 · median $101.83/day · middle 80% $82.10–$215.30/day · 99 fresh listings2026-09-27 · median $102.33/day · middle 80% $83.67–$212.67/day · 99 fresh listings2026-09-28 · median $102.33/day · middle 80% $80.92–$209.67/day · 96 fresh listings2026-09-30 · median $105.17/day · middle 80% $83.55–$214.92/day · 82 fresh listings2026-10-03 · median $110.33/day · middle 80% $87.17–$180.17/day · 86 fresh listings2026-10-04 · median $114.50/day · middle 80% $88.17–$197.07/day · 88 fresh listings2026-10-05 · median $114.67/day · middle 80% $83.07–$199.53/day · 89 fresh listings2026-10-10 · median $104.75/day · middle 80% $86.97–$222.63/day · 80 fresh listings2026-10-12 · median $103.50/day · middle 80% $84.05–$220.67/day · 90 fresh listings2026-10-13 · median $102.33/day · middle 80% $83.60–$220.07/day · 89 fresh listings2026-10-15 · median $104.17/day · middle 80% $83.13–$223.38/day · 80 fresh listingsSep 21Oct 1599 max. fresh

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View 14-day data table
Complete dayp10Medianp90ListingsFresh listings
Sep 21$81.40$108.83$230.179292
Sep 22$80.52$102.58$213.379292
Sep 24$80.98$98.67$204.639090
Sep 26$82.10$101.83$215.309999
Sep 27$83.67$102.33$212.679999
Sep 28$80.92$102.33$209.679696
Sep 30$83.55$105.17$214.928282
Oct 3$87.17$110.33$180.178686
Oct 4$88.17$114.50$197.078888
Oct 5$83.07$114.67$199.538989
Oct 10$86.97$104.75$222.638080
Oct 12$84.05$103.50$220.679090
Oct 13$83.60$102.33$220.078989
Oct 15$83.13$104.17$223.388080

Read See how observed prices changed. Early history appears after two verified days and builds to fourteen.

method & limits

Plots p10, median, and p90 of listing-level $/day, plus fresh listings seen, across complete supported observation days only. Missing days break the line. The band is the middle 80% of listing-level values; listing counts are supply observed in our quote window — not demand, bookings, occupancy, or a forecast.

Same-listing price movement over time ⟲ 3-day market index

Same listings, pickup dates and trip lengths · one point per observed day

Last plotted observation: . The Oct 18 comparison is unavailable; it needs two supported observations.

Same-listing index · starts at 100Amber point = new chain
Same-listing market price indexA trip-length-specific index comparing verified observation days for identical fresh listing, pickup-date, and trip-length prices. Later observations revise that day's endpoint. The evidence table gives each actual comparison interval. The chain resets to one hundred after unsupported intervals or gaps longer than seven days.96.0104.0112.02026-07-14 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 93 matched listings · 3,050 matched trip prices2026-07-15 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 95 matched listings · 3,113 matched trip prices2026-07-16 · index 103.11 · 3.1% period change · 98 matched listings · 3,201 matched trip prices2026-07-17 · index 103.11 · 0.0% period change · 94 matched listings · 3,037 matched trip prices2026-07-21 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 89 matched listings · 2,476 matched trip prices2026-07-22 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 95 matched listings · 3,073 matched trip prices2026-07-23 · index 101.38 · 1.4% period change · 93 matched listings · 2,907 matched trip prices2026-07-24 · index 98.31 · -3.0% period change · 96 matched listings · 3,058 matched trip prices2026-07-25 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 97 matched listings · 3,122 matched trip prices2026-07-26 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 97 matched listings · 3,052 matched trip prices2026-07-27 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 92 matched listings · 2,888 matched trip prices2026-07-28 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 95 matched listings · 3,049 matched trip prices2026-07-29 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 94 matched listings · 3,055 matched trip prices2026-07-30 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 92 matched listings · 3,014 matched trip prices2026-07-31 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 94 matched listings · 3,116 matched trip prices2026-08-01 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 100 matched listings · 3,414 matched trip prices2026-08-02 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 103 matched listings · 3,633 matched trip prices2026-08-03 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 100 matched listings · 3,470 matched trip prices2026-08-04 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 103 matched listings · 3,569 matched trip prices2026-08-05 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 100 matched listings · 3,417 matched trip prices2026-08-06 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 100 matched listings · 3,437 matched trip prices2026-08-07 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 101 matched listings · 3,414 matched trip prices2026-08-08 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 105 matched listings · 3,589 matched trip prices2026-08-09 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 108 matched listings · 3,761 matched trip prices2026-08-10 · index 98.31 · 0.0% period change · 108 matched listings · 3,782 matched trip prices2026-08-11 · index 108.04 · 9.9% period change · 108 matched listings · 3,820 matched trip prices2026-08-12 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 110 matched listings · 3,829 matched trip prices2026-08-13 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 114 matched listings · 4,010 matched trip prices2026-08-14 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 116 matched listings · 4,099 matched trip prices2026-08-15 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 115 matched listings · 4,083 matched trip prices2026-08-16 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 112 matched listings · 3,944 matched trip prices2026-08-17 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 119 matched listings · 4,349 matched trip prices2026-08-18 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 118 matched listings · 4,367 matched trip prices2026-08-20 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 110 matched listings · 3,962 matched trip prices2026-08-21 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 116 matched listings · 4,219 matched trip prices2026-08-22 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 117 matched listings · 4,328 matched trip prices2026-08-23 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 118 matched listings · 4,428 matched trip prices2026-08-24 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 117 matched listings · 4,391 matched trip prices2026-08-25 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 114 matched listings · 4,280 matched trip prices2026-08-26 · index 108.04 · 0.0% period change · 113 matched listings · 4,138 matched trip prices2026-09-15 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 81 matched listings · 334 matched trip prices2026-09-16 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 88 matched listings · 393 matched trip prices2026-09-22 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 90 matched listings · 595 matched trip prices2026-09-27 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 98 matched listings · 864 matched trip prices2026-09-28 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 94 matched listings · 774 matched trip prices2026-10-04 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 85 matched listings · 562 matched trip prices2026-10-05 · index 100.00 · 0.0% period change · 86 matched listings · 581 matched trip prices2026-10-13 · index 100.00 · new chain · 0.0% period change · 88 matched listings · 752 matched trip pricesJul 14Oct 18

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View market-index evidence
DayStatusLevelPeriod change95% bootstrap intervalMatched listingsMatched trip pricesSupport evidence
Sep 18Unavailable———94736Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 19Unavailable———93593Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 20Unavailable———90532Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 21Unavailable———90665Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 22Reset100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%905951-day interval · 95.3% fresh · market-index-2.0 · Index rebased to 100 at its first supported point, after an unsupported interval, or after a gap longer than seven days.
Sep 23Unavailable———87480Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 24Unavailable———80386Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 25Unavailable———87480Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 26Unavailable———95621Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 27Reset100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%988641-day interval · 97.6% fresh · market-index-2.0 · Index rebased to 100 at its first supported point, after an unsupported interval, or after a gap longer than seven days.
Sep 28Supported100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%947741-day interval · 96.8% fresh · market-index-2.0
Sep 29Unavailable———83549Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Sep 30Unavailable———80537Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 1Unavailable———73385Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 2Unavailable———71377Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 3Unavailable———79475Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 4Reset100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%855621-day interval · 95.8% fresh · market-index-2.0 · Index rebased to 100 at its first supported point, after an unsupported interval, or after a gap longer than seven days.
Oct 5Supported100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%865811-day interval · 96.7% fresh · market-index-2.0
Oct 6Unavailable———84577Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 7Unavailable———82435Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 8Unavailable———84422Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 10Unavailable———73359Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 11Unavailable———70419Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 12Unavailable———78559Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 13Reset100.000.0%0.0% to 0.0%887521-day interval · 96.1% fresh · market-index-2.0 · Index rebased to 100 at its first supported point, after an unsupported interval, or after a gap longer than seven days.
Oct 14Unavailable———84540Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 15Unavailable———66298Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 16Unavailable———76358Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 17Unavailable———73330Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0
Oct 18Unavailable———76481Daily reference does not have complete, cap-free market coverage. · market-index-2.0

Read See how prices moved for the same cars, with fleet changes removed from the comparison.

method & limits

Chains matching listing, pickup-date and trip-length prices across recorded observation days using the listing-equal median log relative. Later observations revise that day’s endpoint; the evidence table gives each actual comparison interval. Each point needs at least 30 matched listings and 95% freshness in both observations; the series resets to 100 after an unsupported interval or a gap longer than seven days, never interpolates, and describes the matched cohort rather than the entire market.

What each added trip day costs ◉ same listing and pickup

Same car and pickup date · adding day N · strict less-than is separated from equality

1→2d+$134
2→3d+$93
3→4d+$106
4→5d+$94
5→6d+$95
6→7d+$75
7→8d−$36
8→9d+$80
9→10d+$80
10→11d+$80
11→12d+$80
12→13d+$81
13→14d+$16

Listing-equal marginal-day companion is collecting. Quote-window pairs above are not treated as independent listings; distinct listing counts will appear when the producer publishes them.

Hover, focus or tap a point to inspect the observation.

◆ 7 days costs strictly less than 6 for 4.4%; the totals are exactly equal for 0.0% of eligible pairs.

Listing-equal captured-discount distribution is collecting. Legacy quote-level discount points are not promoted into a listing-level claim.

Read The counterintuitive win: near a host discount boundary, one added day can cost almost nothing — sometimes the longer trip totals less.

method & limits

Measures the observed total-price change when one day is added to the same listing and pickup date, with strictly-cheaper/equal weekly splits and listing-equal captured discounts when available. A quote-window pair is listing × pickup date × trip length, so pair counts are not independent listings; the listing-equal companion and discount distribution stay collecting until distinct listing support is published.

Cars quoting each forward pickup day ◉ observed supply

Distinct listings quoting a 3-day trip per forward pickup date · supply observed in our quote window — not demand, bookings, or occupancy

Tap or focus a bar to see its pickup lead and exact listing count. Gaps mean unsupported dates.

Between 25 and 71 listings quote each supported forward pickup date in the latest observation.

Read How deep the bookable pool is on each forward date — a shallow date means fewer cars to compare, not necessarily higher prices.

method & limits

Counts distinct listings quoting the selected trip length for each forward pickup date in the latest observation, on dates that clear the shared support gate. Observed supply in our quote window only — never demand, bookings, occupancy, or a forecast; dates below the support floor are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Cross-market price gap ◉ 3d matched segments

Same Tesla model in ORD and LAX · each market independently requires 30 listings and 95% freshness

Positive gaps mean LAX quotes higher; negative gaps mean ORD quotes higher.
Tesla modelORDLAXLAX − ORD
Model 3$108.67/day$101.67–$116.00 · 37 listings$109/day$106.17–$116.17 · 106 listings+$0.33/day+0.3% · rough comparison — no uncertainty range for this percentage
Model Y$116.17/day$100.67–$130.00 · 35 listings$127.17/day$121.33–$138.00 · 150 listings+$11/day+9.5% · rough comparison — no uncertainty range for this percentage

Read Same model, two cities — a quick check on which market quotes the cohort lower before you anchor on one quote.

method & limits

Compares current typical listing prices for the same Tesla model between ORD and LAX; each market independently requires 30 listings and 95% freshness. A descriptive market gap, not arbitrage; each market’s median has its own interval, and the displayed percentage ratio has none and is not a precise estimated effect.

// EVIDENCEreputation and badge associations · model-adjusted price factors · repricing activity — supporting context for the surfaces above

Price by listing history and badge ◉ 3-day trips

Selected-duration listing-equal associations · not demand, bookings, host earnings, or causal effects

0 completed trips on this listing10—90.0% fresh listings; 95% required
1–2536$11695% median interval $104.17–$132.33
26–10035$115.6795% median interval $101.67–$127.33
101+8—fewer than 10 listings
Raw selected-duration All-Star gap+0.6%All-Star 39 listings (30+ listings and at least 95% fresh) · others 50 listings (30+ listings and at least 95% fresh)
All-Star badge share among supported listings43.8%39 of 89 listings · 30+ listings and at least 95% fresh

Pooled model-adjusted association: +0.5% (95% interval -5.9% to 7.3%). Raw and adjusted estimates answer different questions.

Ratings are a noisy signal — retaliatory and erroneous reviews exist, and a 0 rating means never rated, not zero stars. Weigh any observed reputation premium accordingly.

Read What a longer track record sells for today — decide whether a proven listing is worth its observed premium to you.

method & limits

Groups current typical listing prices by completed trips on the listing, plus the separately gated share carrying an observed All-Star badge. Associations only — not review quality, host quality, or causal reputation effects; the badge-share denominator has its own support gate, and raw price gaps require both cohorts to be supported.

Price factors after controlling for the others validated on separate listings

Full-fit, distance-neutral associations shown only after listing-holdout validation · not causes

Variation explained on listings not used to fit the model 38.2%Typical multiplicative miss on those held-out listings 25.5%

Left of zero means lower quoted prices; right means higher. Every bar uses the same scale.

Model Y (vs Model 3)95% interval -6.9% to 5.2%-1.1%
Model X (vs Model 3)95% interval 40.5% to 77.6%+58.0%
Model S (vs Model 3)95% interval 17.0% to 63.3%+38.2%
Each year of age95% interval -8.2% to -5.6%-6.9%
Each 0.1★ above 4.895% interval -1.4% to 2.4%+0.5%
10 → 100 completed trips95% interval -6.4% to 4.5%-1.1%
All-Star badge (model-adjusted)95% interval -5.9% to 7.3%+0.5%
No rating yet95% interval -9.2% to 17.3%+3.2%
LAX vs ORD95% interval -0.8% to 12.7%+5.7%
Fri/Sat pickup95% interval 1.7% to 9.5%+5.6%

Read The search filters that genuinely travel with price, separated from the knobs that mostly don’t move it.

method & limits

Shows which factors remain associated with price after the fitted Tesla model accounts for the other included variables, with accuracy reported on listings excluded from fitting. Model associations, not causes; held-out R² is the share of held-out price variation explained, typical multiplicative miss is the typical proportional prediction error, and Luxury remains unavailable until separately validated.

How often listings change price ⟲ newest 28 qualifying days

Listing changes ÷ listing comparisons · changed quote-comparison up/down share · selected inside a 90-day lookback

Days until pickupListings repricedListing comparisonsActivity rateChanged quote comparisons
0–2d1,49116,3309.1%28 newest qualifying days34.0% down · 66.0% up21,610 changed quote-window comparisons
3–6d2,06419,94510.3%28 newest qualifying days31.6% down · 68.4% up36,954 changed quote-window comparisons
7–13d2,51231,7827.9%28 newest qualifying days56.3% down · 43.7% up63,393 changed quote-window comparisons
14–20d8,72038,45022.7%28 newest qualifying days41.5% down · 58.5% up164,695 changed quote-window comparisons
21–29d12,22743,71128.0%28 newest qualifying days42.4% down · 57.6% up286,190 changed quote-window comparisons
30–44d15,88450,90931.2%28 newest qualifying days50.4% down · 49.6% up707,295 changed quote-window comparisons
45d+16,45652,91431.1%28 newest qualifying days49.9% down · 50.1% up790,035 changed quote-window comparisons

Read If your lead-time bucket reprices often, yesterday’s quote may already be gone — recheck before deciding.

method & limits

Counts how often supported listings changed price within each pickup-lead bucket, and whether changed quote-window comparisons moved down or up. Repricing activity only — not a typical move magnitude, demand, or a recommendation to wait; each bucket needs 28 qualifying days within the latest 90-day lookback.